The Peter Zeihan Podcast Series What is Israel's Victory Condition in Iran? || Peter Zeihan
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Jun 24, 2025 The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran is dissected, with a focus on the current military dynamics. The discussion reveals that both nations face limitations in their strategies. An intriguing proposal suggests targeting Iran's oil infrastructure as a potentially more effective way to challenge its power, rather than opting for direct military confrontation. The podcast offers insights into the complexities of the situation and speculates on future developments in this tense relationship.
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Iran's Limited Long-Range Threat
- Iran has many missiles but lacks effective long-range precision and smart targeting capabilities.
- Israel, with better missile defenses and U.S. support, currently suffers no significant damage from Iranian attacks.
Israel Targets Iranian Nuclear Sites
- Israel has targeted Iran's vulnerable nuclear sites like the centrifuge complexes at Natanz.
- However, Iran’s advanced uranium enrichment facilities are deeply buried, complicating Israeli strike capabilities.
Israel's Limits on Nuclear Strikes
- The U.S. possesses the advanced bomb technology and regional bases needed to deeply penetrate Iranian facilities.
- Israel lacks these capabilities, limiting its ability to completely destroy Iran’s nuclear program.