Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia Edition

US-China Trade Truce Sends Stocks Higher; India Equity Outlook

6 snips
May 13, 2025
Brian Krawez, President of Scharf Investments, and Peeyush Mittal, Senior Equity Research Analyst at Matthews Asia, dive into the recent U.S.-China trade truce, highlighting its immediate positive effects on equity markets. They discuss the complexities of tariff reductions and the cautious stance of the Federal Reserve. The conversation shifts to the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, boosting Indian stock performance and potential economic growth. Mittal offers insights into India's role in global supply chains and market prospects.
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INSIGHT

Tariff Truce's Mixed Market Impact

  • The US-China tariff truce removes the worst-case scenario but tariffs remain higher than six months ago.
  • Tariffs will persist, causing inflation and market challenges despite market optimism about reduced trade tensions.
INSIGHT

Fed Cautious Amid Inflation Risks

  • The Fed may hold off on rate cuts unless a recession occurs due to inflationary risks from sustained tariffs.
  • Inflation expectations rising because tariffs won't return to zero adds complexity to monetary policy decisions.
INSIGHT

China Claims Victory in Trade Talks

  • China views the tariff reduction as a victory, reflecting pressures on US trade deficit policies.
  • Deficit concerns and foreign capital flows influenced the US to pause aggressive tariff escalation.
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