This episode addresses key macro questions around aggressive tariff policies, highlighting how President Trump’s new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China mark a seismic shift in global trade dynamics. The discussion delves into the potential for these policies to 'kitchen sink' the economy and asset markets, explores the additional costs for American households, and outlines the risk of a global debt refinancing air pocket if the Federal Reserve does not expand its balance sheet. Listeners also gain insight into defensive portfolio strategies, quantitative market signals, and evolving market regimes—from current deflationary conditions to a possible transition to inflation—while assessing the interplay between the Fed’s moves, liquidity constraints, and macro-economic risks.
The Macro Minute with Darius Dale