FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Drops Out
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Jul 21, 2024 The podcast discusses President Joe Biden dropping out of the 2024 presidential race, analyzing his path to withdrawal, transition of support to Kamala Harris, polling data comparing Harris with Trump, and their performance in battleground states.
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Unprecedented Withdrawal
- Biden's withdrawal is unprecedented in modern presidential primaries.
- No presumptive nominee has withdrawn before the convention since the 1970s reforms.
Rapid Unfolding
- Biden's withdrawal followed a disastrous debate, negative media coverage, and an assassination attempt on his opponent.
- This all unfolded within 24 days, leaving Democrats with a truncated timeline before the election.
Nominee Uncertainty
- While Harris is the presumptive nominee, delegates aren't pledged to her, creating uncertainty.
- This situation raises questions about potential alternative nominations at the convention.