The Commodity Exchange: Agricultural Commodities with Aneeka Gupta
Aug 29, 2023
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Aneeka Gupta, Director, Macroeconomic Research at WisdomTree, joins Mobeen to discuss agricultural commodities. They explore why people invest in this asset class, the impact of El Nino and La Nina on agriculture, the low correlations of agricultural commodities, and the intersection of agricultural commodities with the world of energy.
Adding agricultural commodities to a portfolio offers diversification benefits due to their lower correlation with other asset classes, while understanding the uniqueness of different agricultural sectors is crucial for investors in this asset class.
The ongoing Russia-Ukraine war has had significant implications for agricultural commodities, particularly wheat and corn, introducing uncertainty and creating both challenges and investment opportunities for those willing to navigate the shifting landscape.
Deep dives
Investing in Agricultural Commodities
Agricultural commodities have traditionally been accessed by institutional investors for hedging or investment opportunities. However, with the availability of ETFs and futures markets, individual investors can now easily access agricultural commodities. Adding agricultural commodities to a portfolio offers diversification benefits due to their lower correlation with other asset classes. In today's uncertain climate with extreme weather events and geopolitical tensions, investors are realizing the importance of allocating to agricultural commodities. The interplay between weather patterns, such as El Nino and La Nina, can significantly impact different agricultural commodities, leading to price variations. Understanding the uniqueness of different agricultural sectors, like grains, soft commodities, and livestock, is crucial for investors in this asset class.
Geopolitical Factors and Agricultural Commodities
The ongoing Russia-Ukraine war has had significant implications for agricultural commodities, particularly wheat and corn. Russia and Ukraine play a crucial role in the global supply of these commodities, and any disruptions in their production and export capabilities can lead to price increases. Fertilizers, which are also essential for agriculture, have been affected by the war, impacting crop supply. These geopolitical factors create a more price-positive environment for certain agricultural commodities while introducing uncertainty in the market. Despite the challenges, such volatility can also present investment opportunities for those willing to navigate the shifting landscape.
Intersections of Agricultural Commodities and Energy
Agricultural commodities have connections to the energy sector as well. When oil prices rise, the demand for ethanol, primarily produced from corn in the US and sugar cane in Brazil, increases. This correlation affects the prices of corn, sugar, and other commodities. Additionally, higher energy prices can make synthetic fibers more expensive, leading investors to substitute them with cotton fibers. Moreover, the availability and price of natural gas influence fertilizer prices, impacting the production of agricultural commodities that heavily rely on these fertilizers. Understanding these intersections helps investors gauge the potential impact of energy markets on agricultural commodities.
In this episode of The Commodity Exchange, Mobeen is joined by Aneeka Gupta, Director, Macroeconomic Research, WisdomTree. Together they discuss how the realm of modern finance intersects with the sphere of agriculture. Learn about agricultural commodities and gain insights into how investors navigate this asset class in this episode.
(00:00) Intro and Disclaimer
(01:54) Meet Aneeka
(04:02) Why do people invest in agricultural commodities as an asset class?
(06:40) El Nino and La Nina
(12:46) Correlations with other sectors or asset classes
(16:09) Cyclicality in agricultural commodities
(20:37) The Russia-Ukraine war
(26:08) The intersection of agricultural commodities with the world of energy
(30:12) The most credible organizations for obtaining news and research on this sector
(31:45) Where is the sector headed for both the rest of this year and long term?
(35:30) Closing comments
(36:09) Disclaimer
You can follow our panellists on Twitter at:
Nitesh: https://twitter.com/NiteshShahWT
Mobeen: https://twitter.com/MobeenTahirWT
Aneeka: https://twitter.com/AneekaGuptaWT
For EU investors only
Learn more about commodities: https://www.wisdomtree.eu/en-gb/strategies/broad-commodities
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