

Election Daily: first counts trickle in and anti-immigration candidates falter
Nov 30, 2024
Jack Horgan-Jones, a political analyst covering the Irish general election, joins to dissect the latest election results. Early tallies show Fine Gael's Jennifer Carroll MacNeill as a frontrunner, while Sinn Féin's Pearse Doherty is expected to claim victory in Donegal. Surprising lows for anti-immigration candidates highlight shifting voter sentiments, as Philip Dwyer struggles to secure even 1% of the vote. The unexpected strength of the Social Democrats adds a new dynamic to the political landscape.
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Fine Gael's Target Seats
- Fine Gael's target seats are not yielding expected results.
- Internal analyses suggest they might outperform exit polls, but key races remain tight.
Fianna Fáil's Potential Gains
- Fianna Fáil may benefit if Fine Gael falls short in tight races.
- The party with a slight edge will likely benefit from transfers between the two.
Sinn Féin's Vote Management
- Sinn Féin shows improved vote management compared to 2020.
- Their success in Donegal and other constituencies demonstrates this improvement.