Weak demand is forcing more home sellers to reduce their asking price (2/3/25 Market Update)
Feb 4, 2025
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The podcast dives into the latest U.S. housing market trends, highlighting an intriguing rise in price reductions as demand wavers. It explores how sellers are responding to a drop in buyer interest and examines current median home prices. Future implications of government policies on mortgage rates and the economy are also discussed. Additionally, the show offers insights into early 2025 trends, focusing on inventory levels and potential seasonal buying patterns that could influence market dynamics.
Weak home buyer demand has led to an increase in price reductions, with 33.1% of homes on the market experiencing price cuts.
The fluctuation in unsold home inventory suggests a complex market that could face challenges unless mortgage rates stabilize.
Deep dives
Weakness in Home Buyer Demand
Recent data indicates a significant weakness in home buyer demand, which is reflected in the current housing price trends. Home price appreciation has essentially stagnated, showing barely positive results compared to the previous year. Price reductions have increased slightly, with 33.1% of homes on the market experiencing price cuts, marking a rare uptick for this time of year. This situation is unusual, as typically, price cuts decline during January, especially with new inventory entering the market and more buyers beginning their search.
Inventory Trends and Market Dynamics
The inventory of unsold homes has experienced minor fluctuations, indicating a complex dynamic in the current market. There are 27.7% more homes available than a year ago, suggesting a gradual increase in supply, which is contrary to the typical January trend. Despite fewer new listings compared to previous years, the overall inventory trend is inching upwards as sellers adjust their prices to attract buyers. This increase in inventory, coupled with soft buyer demand, implies that the market could face continued challenges unless mortgage rates stabilize.
Future Projections for Home Prices
Looking ahead, the future of home prices may hinge on various external economic factors, particularly government policy decisions. Scenarios such as tax increases and reduced government spending could negatively impact the economy, potentially leading to lower mortgage rates, which historically have benefited the housing market. While the median home sales price stands at approximately $389,700, indicating modest year-over-year gains, systemic trends could shift based on economic conditions. As the spring home-buying season approaches, prices may still see fluctuations, with the potential for increased home sales if mortgage rates decline.
Welcome to How’s the Market, our weekly look at what’s happening in the US housing market, powered by data from Altos Research.
If you want to see all the inventory, pricing, and supply and demand charts we reference in the show, head on over to our YouTube channel at https://youtube.com/altosresearch.
Hosted by Mike Simonsen, President of Altos Research.A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. Altos provides national and local real estate data to financial institutions, real estate professionals, and investors across the country, and the company is now part of HW Media, publisher of HousingWire and RealTrends. Mike uses Altos data to identify trends in the real estate market well before the headlines, and his work has been featured in the New York Times, The Atlantic, Fortune, Forbes and other publications.
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