Drunk Real Estate

95. Is the Economy in Reverse? Tariffs, Job Cuts & Trade Trouble

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May 1, 2025
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INSIGHT

Economy May Already Be Declining

  • Economic data currently looks good but is trailing; actual downturn effects may show later.
  • Economy might already be "off the cliff," like the coyote in the Road Runner cartoon.
INSIGHT

Empty U.S. Ports Signal Supply Issues

  • U.S. ports especially for China shipments are shockingly empty, with many ships arriving nearly empty.
  • This could presage reduced supply and possible bare shelves soon.
INSIGHT

GDP Forecasts Show Polarized Views

  • GDP forecasts vary widely, from negative contraction to modest growth.
  • This reflects deep uncertainty and confirmation bias in interpreting economic data.
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