The podcast discusses the growing tensions over seas and waterways, the potential outcomes of a war over Taiwan, measuring public opinion in China, and the inspiring story of a woman fulfilling her dream of driving a Formula One car.
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Quick takeaways
Naval power and dominance of the seas are crucial in geopolitics due to global trade and the growing challenge of China's Navy.
A list experiment method suggests lower support for the Chinese Communist Party than previously thought, revealing potential discontent and challenges to its narrative of overwhelming popularity.
Deep dives
The Importance of Naval Power in Geopolitics
Naval power and dominance of the seas are crucial in geopolitics due to the importance of global trade, energy transportation, and communication networks that rely on maritime routes. The majority of global trade, both in volume and value, travels by sea, and disruptions to maritime conduits can have significant impacts on supply chains and the world economy. The United States has historically been the dominant naval force, but China's Navy is rapidly growing and challenging Western naval dominance. The competition for naval superiority is driven by US-China rivalry, particularly in Asia, and the desire to control strategic regions, secure port access, and maintain freedom of navigation.
Challenging the Censored Opinion Polls in China
Assessing public satisfaction and support for the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is challenging due to censorship and political repression. Traditional opinion polls conducted by Western researchers have shown high support for the CCP, but questions remain about the authenticity of these responses given the fear of reprisal and lack of freedom to express negative views. To overcome this problem, researchers have used a list experiment method to indirectly measure public opinion in China. The results suggest that support for the CCP might be lower than previously thought, with estimates ranging from 50% to 70% in 2020. The study also revealed that a significant portion of respondents did not believe China's system of government was the best, showcasing potential discontent and challenges to the CCP's narrative of overwhelming popularity.
Rosemary Smith: Breaking Barriers in Rally Driving
Rosemary Smith, a trailblazing rally driver, defied gender norms and became the first woman to make her mark in the male-dominated world of rallying. With her exceptional driving skills and determination, she achieved impressive records and victories in international rallies, including winning the overall prize in the 1965 Tulip Rally. Despite facing personal challenges in her life, she found solace and confidence behind the wheel of a car, where she felt in control and capable of taking on any challenge. Rosemary Smith's remarkable career in rally driving paved the way for women in motorsports and demonstrated their competence and competitiveness in a traditionally male sphere.
Squabbles over the seas and their tributary waterways are becoming more tense as rivalries deepen and the climate changes. How should the West prepare? An opinion poll with a twist suggests that Xi Jinping is not as popular as he thinks he is (11:29). And, a tribute to the queen of world rallying (17:42).
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