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On the Ground in Iowa: The Inevitability Problem

Jan 10, 2024
Brianne Pfannenstiel, Chief Political Reporter for the Des Moines Register and veteran Iowa caucus analyst, joins the discussion on the significance of the 2024 Iowa Caucuses. They delve into whether these caucuses still matter in the shadow of Trump’s commanding lead. Insights are shared on voter engagement, the importance of retail politics, and contrasting campaign styles. The conversation reveals how Iowa remains pivotal for challengers, while exploring Trump’s vulnerabilities amid a shifting political landscape.
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ANECDOTE

Iowa's GOP History

  • In past GOP contests, Iowa caucus winners like Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum haven't secured the nomination.
  • John McCain and Mitt Romney ultimately won after their Iowa caucus victories.
INSIGHT

Caucus Time Commitment

  • Iowa caucuses demand significant time commitment from voters, requiring in-person participation and several hours on a Monday evening.
  • This poses a challenge for campaigns to motivate voter turnout.
ANECDOTE

2016 Caucus Strategies

  • In 2016, Ted Cruz's thorough campaigning across all of Iowa's counties led him to victory in the caucuses.
  • Trump's campaign, however, had a less organized approach and didn't prioritize Iowa as much.
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