The Joseph Carlson Show

This Monopoly Stock Keeps Getting Stronger

7 snips
Oct 15, 2025
Delve into ASML's impressive earnings and stock surge, with insights on why the company's growth strategy is a game changer. Explore the intriguing question of whether we're in an AI bubble, featuring Brad Gerstner's expert perspectives on valuations. Discover the concept of agentic commerce and its potential to transform industries. Exciting news about Waymo's London expansion and Salesforce's partnership with OpenAI rounds out the discussion, leaving listeners with a sense of what's next in tech.
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ANECDOTE

Personal Journey Into ASML

  • Joseph Carlson describes learning ASML's technology and building a sizable position after studying the company and its history.
  • He invested $87,000 with about $24,000 in gains and added at dips after a prior earnings-driven sell-off.
ADVICE

Buy The Dip When Fundamentals Hold

  • Use market sell-offs driven by superficial comments as buying opportunities in high-quality companies.
  • Carlson added to ASML after the July sell-off when management's wording, not fundamentals, drove the drop.
INSIGHT

Services Drive ASML's Recurring Value

  • Install-based management (post-install services) is ASML's fastest-growing and most strategic segment.
  • Trailing 12-month install-based management grew ~39.75% and materially improves recurring revenue quality.
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