Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast Nicolai Petro: Ukraine Endgame & Fragmentation of Europe
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Nov 14, 2025 Nicolai N. Petro, a Political Science professor and former U.S. State Department special assistant, dives into the complexities surrounding the Ukraine conflict and European politics. He discusses the unlikeliness of a Ukrainian victory due to resource limitations and advocates for immediate negotiations to reverse negative trends. Petro highlights potential EU fragmentation, the implications of a Russian victory on European politics, and the need for Europe to consider Eurasian opportunities in light of a declining U.S. role.
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Ukraine Running Out Of Vital Resources
- Ukraine faces collapsing manpower, finance, and population, making victory increasingly unlikely.
- Nicolai Petro argues negotiation now offers the best chance to preserve Ukraine and reverse negative trends.
Pursue Negotiations Before Strategic Collapse
- Negotiate while Russia is still willing to talk to secure better terms and enable reconstruction.
- Petro recommends seeking a long-term peace treaty rather than relying on a mere ceasefire to attract investment.
Ceasefires Follow Negotiations Not Vice Versa
- Petro stresses ceasefires are outcomes of negotiations, not preconditions, using historical parallels.
- He warns expecting a ceasefire first prevents meaningful settlement and prolongs conflict.