Madison's Notes

S4E38 False Dawn: A Conversation with George Selgin on Recovering from the Great Depression

5 snips
May 14, 2025
In this engaging discussion, George Selgin, an expert in monetary policy and former director at the Cato Institute, reveals the complex truths behind FDR's New Deal and its impact on the Great Depression. He argues that many New Deal policies prolonged economic hardship rather than alleviating it. Selgin also examines the roles of fiscal vs. monetary policy in recovery, challenges conventional narratives about WWII's role in ending the Depression, and stresses the importance of learning from historical economic crises for future resilience.
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INSIGHT

New Deal Didn't End Depression

  • The New Deal did not end the Great Depression; unemployment and investment stagnation persisted until after WWII.
  • Real recovery came as private investment surged post-war, not directly from the war or the New Deal itself.
ANECDOTE

New Deal as Experimentation

  • Roosevelt’s administration excellently managed the banking crisis, using plans started by Hoover's team.
  • The New Deal was a set of experimental programs varying widely in success and aim.
INSIGHT

Successful Mortgage Reform Program

  • The Home Owners Loan Corporation refinancing program was one of the best New Deal initiatives.
  • It helped homeowners and lenders by restructuring mortgages to reflect new economic realities.
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