Players Who Could Lose Value at the NFL Draft + Dynasty Mailbag - Dynasty Fantasy Football
Apr 17, 2024
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Guest James Cook discusses potential value loss at the NFL Draft. Topics include player value impact, draft capital significance, players at risk like Elliott and Mingo, and strategies for identifying value decline. Uncertainty in player value in NFL and Dynasty leagues explored, with insights on running back situations like Moss and Brown. Discussion on trading strategies, team passing attacks, and player value dynamics in dynasty fantasy football.
James Cook's fantasy value could decline due to limited goal-line opportunities and potential physical toll in the NFL.
Rashad White's fantasy success may not be sustainable due to subpar efficiency metrics and potential decline in opportunities.
Strategic decision-making is crucial for third-year running backs' long-term fantasy value, considering uncertainties in goal-line usage, efficiency, and durability.
Deep dives
James Cook's Potential Value Peak
James Cook, despite being a top 12 running back in fantasy, faces uncertainties due to his lack of goal-line opportunities and potential risks of taking a physical toll in the NFL. While excelling as a pass-catcher under Joe Brady's offense, there are concerns about his ability to endure a significant workload given his limited touchdown production. With the peak of his value possibly reached, owners may want to consider trading him before the 2023 season if the Bengals add a goal-line back or his workload decreases
Rashad White's Efficiency Concerns
Rashad White's RB7 finish in fantasy last season was accompanied by subpar efficiency metrics, including the lowest yards per carry among top 15 running backs in the last five years. His breakaway run rate also raises questions about sustaining success. If White experiences a decline in opportunities, efficiency, or missed games, his previous season's performance may have been his best fantasy output.
Third-Year Running Backs and Future Projections
Examining a group of third-year running backs like James Cook, Rashad White, and others reveals a dynamic landscape. While these players present potential as RB1 candidates in the 2024 season, uncertainties regarding goal-line usage, efficiency, and future durability suggest the need for cautious optimism. Evaluating their situations before and after the upcoming draft could help determine their long-term fantasy value and the necessity of strategic decision-making for fantasy team owners.
Kyren Williams' Dynasty Value and Potential Regression
Kyren Williams, a third-year running back taken in the fifth round, is a divisive player in dynasty leagues. Despite scoring many touchdowns last year, there are concerns about his ability to repeat that success. With historical data suggesting a likely drop in production, some view him as overvalued in the dynasty realm. While he may offer immediate value, there are doubts about his sustainability as a long-term asset.
Trading Strategies in Dynasty Start-up Drafts
When navigating trading picks in dynasty start-up drafts, the focus often shifts between acquiring early-round talent versus accumulating mid-round picks. While moving back in the draft can be tempting to gather more selections, it's crucial to assess the value of potential trades. Opting to stay put and select top-tier players in the first rounds is usually favored over spreading resources across multiple mid-round picks, ensuring a stronger foundation for your dynasty team.
It’s nearly draft time! On today’s dynasty fantasy football podcast, Borg and Betz discuss which players stand to lose or gain the most from the NFL Draft, plus they discuss a couple depth chart considerations before moving into a dynasty mailbag. Players discussed: James Cook, Trevor Lawrence, Zack Moss, and others! Join Borg, Betz, and a Baller each week to take your Dynasty fantasy football game to the next level and dominate your league -- Fantasy Football Podcast for April 17th, 2024.
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