Issues, Etc. A Survey on Red States and Birth Rates – Tim Goeglein, 10/30/25 (3031)
Oct 30, 2025
Tim Goeglein, Vice President at Focus on the Family and former White House official, dives into the dynamics of birth rates across political landscapes. He discusses how faith, marriage, and community support contribute to higher birth rates among conservatives. Highlighting CDC findings, he connects higher fertility in Trump-voting counties to religious engagement, noting that faith communities can lessen child-rearing costs. Lastly, he suggests ways to nurture larger families through supportive policies and cultural incentives to foster family growth.
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Conservative Fertility Trend Shapes Politics
- Conservatives tend to have higher fertility rates, suggesting demographic shifts in political alignment over time.
- Tim Goeglein links this trend to stronger marriage and family patterns in religious, conservative communities.
Red Counties Show Growing Fertility Gap
- Institute for Family Studies found counties that voted for Trump have higher fertility rates, with the gap widening since 2012.
- Tim Goeglein notes the gap grew from about 8% in 2012 to roughly 26% in 2024, a significant change.
Religion Correlates With Higher Fertility
- Pew Research corroborates the pattern: religious Americans average 2.2 children vs 1.8 for non-religious.
- Atheists and agnostics show the lowest fertility rates around 1.4–1.5 children.
