David Prager of Kroll gives the 4-1-1 on the restructuring marketplace
Apr 28, 2021
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In this podcast, David Prager of Kroll discusses the SPAC market, challenges in forecasting and valuation post-pandemic, competition and the impact of SPACs on debt and restructuring markets, lender on lender violence, valuing and forecasting growth for COVID-disrupted companies, and the importance of independent advisors in restructuring cases.
The restructuring marketplace has been slow due to an abundance of lenders and limited opportunities, leading to deals being done with no covenants.
The SPAC craze is driving up values and multiples, but the lack of transparency in SPACs presents risks and liquidity tightening may cause issues.
Deep dives
Restructuring Activity and Lack of Opportunities
The pandemic has resulted in a lack of restructuring activity due to an abundance of lenders and too few opportunities. This has led to a sluggish restructuring cycle, particularly for middle-market and larger companies. Many deals are being done with no covenants, reminiscent of the 2006-2007 cycle, which could pose risks in the long run.
SPAC Trends and Implications
The SPAC craze is driving up values and multiples, with a surge of money rushing into a limited number of investments. Companies on the edge are advised to consider monetizing investments and right-sizing their capital structure. However, the lack of transparency in SPACs presents risks, and as liquidity tightens, there may be unanticipated issues in some SPAC companies.
Industries on the Restructuring Watch List
Industries such as in-person entertainment, amusement parks, movie theaters, and certain segments of the travel sector are on the restructuring watch list. The shift away from physical retail is also putting pressure on mall operators. While malls have adapted to alternative uses, the return to pre-pandemic trends seems unlikely, posing challenges for mall owners and operators.