The belief that it's preferable for America to develop AGI before China does seems widespread among American effective altruists. Is this belief supported by evidence, or it it just patriotism in disguise?

How would you try to convince an open-minded Chinese citizen that it really would be better for America to develop AGI first? Such a person might point out:

Over the past 30 years, the Chinese government has done more for the flourishing of Chinese citizens than the American government has done for the flourishing of American citizens. My village growing up lacked electricity, and now I'm a software engineer! Chinese institutions are more trustworthy for promoting the future flourishing of humanity.
Commerce in China ditches some of the older ideas of Marxism because it's the means to an end: the China Dream of wealthy communism. As AGI makes China and the world extraordinarily wealthy, we are [...]

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First published:
February 22nd, 2025

Source:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/MxPhK4mLRkaFekAmp/how-confident-are-you-that-it-s-preferable-for-america-to

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

“How confident are you that it’s preferable for America to develop AGI before China does?” by ScienceMon🔸