Talks at Google

Ep30 - Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Skin in the Game

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Mar 5, 2019
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ANECDOTE

Lindy's Restaurant and the Lindy Effect

  • Nassim Taleb uses the example of Lindy's restaurant, known for its cheesecake, to illustrate the Lindy Effect.
  • It thrived for a while but eventually went bust, demonstrating that popularity doesn't guarantee longevity.
ADVICE

Writing Timeless Books

  • Write books that withstand the test of time by ensuring they appeal to both past and present readers.
  • Project yourself backward when writing and consider if someone from a previous era would find value in your work.
INSIGHT

Predicting the Future vs. Obsolescence

  • Predicting the future is difficult, but predicting the obsolescence of recent things is easier.
  • The Lindy Effect suggests that older technologies often have a survival advantage over newer ones.
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