In Moscow's Shadows

In Moscow's Shadows 189: Oval Office Mugging and Russia's Police in Crisis

Mar 2, 2025

Recent discussions highlight Trump's dramatic antics as he demands flattery, while Zelensky faces tough choices amid shifting support for Ukraine. There's a deep dive into Europe's military spending and its political ramifications, especially in the context of U.S.-Russia relations. On the Russian side, a troubling crisis in law enforcement unfolds, marked by systemic corruption and a tragic suicide linked to pressure from superiors. Public trust in the police is fluctuating, raising concerns about the need for urgent reforms in a turbulent environment.

49:08

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Quick takeaways

Trump's actions in the Oval Office signify a troubling shift in U.S. politics that could negatively impact Ukraine's future.

The Russian police force is facing a crisis of morale and corruption, exacerbated by understaffing and a loss of public trust.

Deep dives

The Impact of U.S. Politics on Ukraine

Current U.S. politics significantly affect Ukraine's situation, particularly regarding Trump's recent actions in the Oval Office. The dynamics of the meeting raised concerns about the future of Ukraine, as Trump demonstrated a disregard for Zelensky while suggesting potential demands that could worsen Ukraine's position. Trump’s behavior is compared to King Lear's, emphasizing the need for leaders like Zelensky to navigate complicated political landscapes carefully. The episode argues that simply resisting Trump's rhetoric might not be enough; instead, there's a necessity for strategic political maneuvering to maintain support for Ukraine.

Intro

10min

Military Spending and Political Dynamics in Europe

12min

Geopolitical Tensions and Russian Perspectives on American Politics

3min

Corruption and Crisis in Russian Law Enforcement

21min

Trust and Turmoil: The Changing Landscape of Russian Policing

3min

Much as I would love not to have to keep talking about Trump, it's inevitable that I cover the extraordinary events of this week: Trump as King Lear, demanding obsequious flattery, Zelensky perhaps ought not to have made the trip to DC. So where now?

And in the second half, the Russian police in crisis, demoralised, under-strength and with corruption again on the rise. Another very real success story of early Putinism, police reform, being devoured by the war and late Putinism.

The video of the Global Strategy Forum event I mentioned is here, the Sunday Times article (paywalled) is here.

The podcast's corporate partner and sponsor is Conducttr, which provides software for innovative and immersive crisis exercises in hybrid warfare, counter-terrorism, civil affairs and similar situations.

You can also follow my blog, In Moscow's Shadows, and become one of the podcast's supporting Patrons and gain question-asking rights and access to exclusive extra materials including the (almost-) weekly Govorit Moskva news briefing right here.

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