RANE Podcast Series Increased Conflict in the DRC
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Feb 7, 2025 Rémi Dodd, RANE’s Sub-Saharan Africa Analyst, dives into the complexities of the escalating conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo. He discusses the M23 rebel group's controversial capture of Goma and the ongoing fighting despite a declared ceasefire. Dodd highlights the strained relations with Rwanda, emphasizes the stalled peace negotiations, and unpacks the roles of regional players like Burundi and Uganda. He also examines the impact of regional organizations on the situation, revealing the intricate web of military and diplomatic strategies in play.
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Escalation in Eastern Congo
- The M23 rebel group's capture of Goma is a significant escalation in the conflict in Eastern Congo.
- This is the most severe escalation since at least 2012, highlighting the rebels' growing strength.
Stalled Peace Process
- The stalled peace process between Congo and Rwanda is the main reason for the recent escalation of fighting.
- Congolese President Tshisekedi's refusal to negotiate with the M23 has led to a deadlock.
Tshisekedi's Refusal to Negotiate
- Congolese President Tshisekedi refuses to talk with M23 due to domestic pressures.
- Negotiating could risk his legitimacy and potentially lead to protests or a coup.