Stock Options Perspective with Garrett DeSimone, PhD
Sep 13, 2023
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Garrett DeSimone, Head of Quant Research at OptionMetrics, discusses various aspects of the Option environment including OptionMetrics, out of the money put, fat tails, long-dated options, and perspectives on the market. The discussion also touches on tail risk hedging, analytical tools for options-based research, and the use of Python and C++ in their work.
Option Metrics identified elevated downside skew and abnormal volume in regional banks, indicating worries about crash risk and potential bank failures similar to those observed during the 2008 financial crisis.
Tail risk hedging with long-dated out-of-the-money puts is challenging and often leads to average losses in most years, due to the substantial insurance premium and the difficulty of accurately timing the monetization of hedges, although it may still have a place in portfolios for rare convex payoffs.
Deep dives
Introduction and Background
Garrett DeSimone, the head of Quant Research at Option Metrics, introduces himself and his role at the company. He highlights that Option Metrics is a data and analytics provider, specializing in exchange-listed options data and analytics for institutional customers. DeSimone's educational background includes a PhD from the University of Delaware, where he conducted research using Option Metrics data. The company has a blog where they share interesting observations in the options market and write academic-style white papers.
Concerns about Regional Banking Sectors
Option Metrics analyzed the options market for regional banks and identified elevated downside skew and abnormal volume. This indicated investors' worries about the crash risk and the likelihood of regional banks failing. Similar patterns to those observed in 2008 during the financial crisis were noted. The effects of a bank failure tend to cascade to other smaller regional banks as investors become concerned about similar risks. Extreme volumes and price movements in regional banks have subsided, but the possibility of new risks arising with regional banks in the future remains.
Tail Risk Hedging and Long-Dated Puts
Tail risk hedging with long-dated out-of-the-money puts is viewed as difficult and hard to monetize effectively. The insurance premium for hedging downside risk can be substantial, and timing the monetization of such hedges is challenging. The hedging effectiveness during periods of extreme volatility, like COVID-19, heavily depends on accurate timing. Additionally, tail hedge funds have faced difficulties in performing as expected due to timing issues. The consensus is that while tail risk hedging may have a place in portfolios, it often leads to average losses in most years, barring rare convex payoffs.
Professor Zoro speaks with Garrettt DeSimone about Options. Various aspects of the Option environment are discussed including OptionMetrics, Out of the money put, Fat tales, Long Dated Options, Taleb Nassim, Blogs by Garrett
Garret is Head of Quant Research at OptionMetrics
https://www.linkedin.com/in/garrett-desimone-ph-d-4ab7ba68/
https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/bearish-traders-swarm-amc-options-stock-conversion-plan-faces-doubts-2023-07-28/
OptionMetrics
https://optionmetrics.com
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20230621930348/en/OptionMetrics-Makes-US-Dividend-Forecast-Data-Available-to-Academic-Researchers
https://www.barchart.com/story/news/19307336/oil-stocks-amidst-current-macroeconomic-risks
Patrick Zoro
https://www.linkedin.com/in/patrick-z-08bb5b5a/
Lehigh Master in Financial Engineeringhttps://business.lehigh.edu/academics/graduate/masters-programs/ms-financial-engineering
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