Sensemaker The seized oil tankers
Jan 9, 2026
Bernard Gray, a contributing editor on national security for The Observer, dives into the recent seizure of a Russian-flagged tanker by the US. He discusses the implications for hemispheric security and the US’s assertion of enforcing an oil blockade. Gray explains the complexities of maritime law regarding ship re-flagging, and highlights how this incident serves as a diplomatic embarrassment for Russia. He connects this action to a revived Monroe Doctrine, suggesting it signals a new era in US-Russia relations.
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Long Chase And Flag Changes
- The US Coast Guard chased the Maranera for over two weeks before seizing it in the North Atlantic after it evaded capture by turning away from Venezuela.
- The ship had sailed under several flags and was previously called the Bella One, illustrating ad-hoc flag changes to avoid sanctions.
Factor Maritime Enforcement Into Risk
- Expect the US to publicly emphasize enforcement to deter sanctions‑busting and signal resolve.
- Policymakers and commercial actors should factor increased US maritime enforcement into geopolitical risk assessments.
Flagging Ambiguity Matters
- The legal status of the Maranera's Russian flag is ambiguous, complicating claims of a direct attack on Russia.
- US officials argue that simply flying a flag doesn't confer protection if re-flagging wasn't legitimate.