Trita Parsi from the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft joins to discuss the recent ICJ ruling on the risk of genocide in Gaza and its potential impact on Israel. They also explore Israel's behavior and the US's role in enforcing the ruling. The speakers touch on the influence of the pro-Israel lobby and promote their premium memberships.
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Quick takeaways
The International Court of Justice ruled that Israel must reduce risk of genocide in Gaza, affecting its reputation and causing political consequences.
The ICJ's ruling may be backed by US Security Council resolution, pressuring Israel to address court's concerns or face consequences.
Deep dives
The International Court rules on potential genocide in Gaza
The International Court of Justice (ICJ) has released a preliminary ruling, allowing South Africa's case regarding Israel's conduct in Gaza to go forward. The court has given Israel one month to change its military operations to reduce the risk of genocide. The ruling is seen as a devastating blow to Israel's global standing, as it highlights allegations of genocide taking place in Gaza. Israel has been successful in normalizing relations with many countries since the Oslo process, but the recent association with apartheid and now a potential genocide ruling could further impact its international standing.
Implications for Israel's standing and US involvement
The ICJ's ruling poses significant political consequences and costs for Israel. It further isolates Israel and may affect its international reputation. The United States, in particular, faces a dilemma of whether to stand with international law and support the ruling or go against it and face further isolation. The court's findings also put the US in a bind as it promotes following court rulings, making it challenging to pick and choose decisions. The US State Department's response to this ruling and its impact on Israeli behavior remains uncertain, but it is expected to complicate its defense of the US's refusal to push Israel towards a ceasefire.
Enforcement and future prospects
The ICJ's ruling, while lacking direct enforcement mechanisms, carries significance. The United Nations has means of enforcing its rulings, and it is likely that a US Security Council resolution will be presented to reinforce the court's decision. This resolution would adopt the ruling and give it the enforcement capability of binding international law. If Israel fails to adequately address the court's concerns within the designated time frame, it will continue to face political costs and consequences. The ruling also presents a challenge for the United States, forcing a decision on whether to stand with international law or further isolate itself.
Ryan discusses the ICJ ruling Israel must "take all measures" to avoid acts of genocide in Gaza but stops short of calling for a ceasefire. He's joined by Trita Parsi from the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft.