Playing For Keeps

Playing For Keeps Episode 4 With Shaidy Advice

Mar 14, 2024
Shaidy Advice (Keith) is a top-ranked DFS player and data scientist, known for his analytical approach. He reflects on his late start in DFS and the pivotal role of Whistles in his journey. Keith shares insights on his competitive nature and how his background in data science shapes his strategies. He discusses his strengths in NFL Showdown and emphasizes learning through a methodical process. With a unique perspective on payout structures and the future of DFS, he offers sage advice for newcomers, focusing on enjoying the game while improving fundamentals.
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ANECDOTE

How Whistles Brought Him Into DFS

  • Keith credits Whistles for getting him into DFS during the pandemic when they started working together on League of Legends and then NFL.
  • He describes himself as Whistles' creation and attributes his entry and early success to that partnership.
INSIGHT

Three P Process: Projections, Pool, Portfolio

  • Keith frames his process as three P's: projections, pool, and portfolio management to minimize risk.
  • He relies heavily on public sims for projections and pools and layers his own portfolio code on top.
ADVICE

Don't Mean-Aggregate Projections

  • Avoid averaging projections blindly because conflicting forecasts reflect different possible game states.
  • Treat differing site projections as scenarios rather than a simple mean to preserve edge.
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