Long Reads: Britain's Tory Wipeout w/ Phil Burton-Cartledge
Jul 11, 2024
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Political analyst Phil Burton-Cartledge discusses Britain's recent election where Labour secured 411 seats, while the Conservative Party saw a massive drop by 20 percent. They delve into the challenges faced by the Tories, potential trajectories for the party, and analyze the electoral strategies of both Labour and the Conservatives. The conversation also touches on key issues like Brexit, Scottish independence, and economic woes in Britain.
Labour secured a majority in the UK election with less than 34% of the vote due to the electoral system's discrepancies.
The Conservative Party's significant vote share loss can be attributed to the Reform Party's anti-immigrant appeal and right-wing division.
Deep dives
The Conservative Party's Historical Defeat and Long-Term Decline
The Conservative Party suffered a historic defeat, losing 251 seats, with their vote halving to 6.8 million. This defeat surpasses their losses in the 1997 election. The party's long-term decline was accelerated by scandals, insufficient constituency engagement, and failures to address key issues like property and housing.
Reform Party's Impact on Conservative Vote
The Reform Party, led by Nigel Farage, significantly disrupted the Conservative Party's support base by attracting anti-immigrant voters. Farage's party won 4.1 million votes, affecting around 170 seats. The Conservatives' failure to address immigration concerns and deliver on promises fueled Reform's success in dividing the right-wing vote.
Labour's Electoral Strategy and Governance Challenges
Labour's electoral strategy prioritized swing seats over safe Labour constituencies, leading to reduced majorities in staunch Labour strongholds. Despite securing a commanding seat majority, Labour faces criticism for shallow voter support and potential instability due to right-wing and left-wing challenges. Their governance decisions have triggered scrutiny and opposition.
Addressing British Economic Issues and Policy Approaches
The UK's economic challenges, such as wage stagnation, regional disparities, and infrastructure decay, signal the need for robust policies. Labour's focus on economic growth, public-private partnerships, and enhanced local authority powers indicates a shift from neoliberal strategies. Initiatives like Great British Energy aim to boost investment and tackle economic issues by prioritizing state intervention and infrastructure development.
On July 4, voters in Britain went to the polls to elect a new government. Labour ended up with 411 seats in the House of Commons, while the Conservative Party had just 121.
At first glance, the result seems like a massive popular mandate for Keir Starmer and the Labour Party. But we have to reckon with the British electoral system, which can give parties a large majority of seats without even a small majority of votes. Labour will form a government with less than 34 percent of the overall vote. That’s barely 2 percent more than the party achieved with Jeremy Corbyn as leader in 2019, on a much lower turnout.
The real story of the election was a Tory collapse. The Conservative vote share dropped by 20 percent. The right-wing Reform Party of Nigel Farage divided the right-wing bloc with its anti-immigrant platform. Reform received 14 percent of the vote, but only ended up with 5 seats.
For a conversation about the election and the future of British politics, Long Reads is joined by Phil Burton-Cartledge. Phil is a lecturer in sociology at the University of Derby, and he’s the author of a book about the Conservative Party called The Party’s Over.
Support also comes from A Sense of Rebellion, a new podcast from tech critic Evgeny Morozov that explores counterculture at the dawn of the digital revolution.
Long Reads is a Jacobin podcast looking in-depth at political topics and thinkers, both contemporary and historical, with the magazine’s longform writers. Hosted by features editor Daniel Finn. Produced by Conor Gillies, music by Knxwledge.
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