Will Politics in Taiwan Increase the Risk of Conflict with China?
Jul 27, 2023
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Dennis Weng and Brian Hioe join Deep Dish to discuss the future of Taiwanese policy, its alignment with the US, and the risk of war with China. The speakers delve into the differing perspectives within Taiwan on the level of risk for conflict, the ongoing discussion in the US regarding military signals to China, the political dynamics in Taiwan, and the multifaceted issues surrounding Taiwan's upcoming election.
The upcoming Taiwanese presidential election will have a significant impact on Taiwan's alignment with the United States and its policies.
The role of the United States in ensuring Taiwan's security is crucial, but there are concerns about the implications of U.S. military signals and policy towards China and Taiwan.
Deep dives
Debate over Preventing Conflict Between China and Taiwan
The recent years have seen an increase in concerns over the possibility of armed conflict between China and Taiwan, with potential implications for the United States. The podcast series delves into this critical debate on how to prevent war, exploring the different views in Taiwan on preserving peace. The podcast highlights the importance of understanding Taiwanese politics and actions as they play a significant role in China's decision-making. Alternative views on maintaining peace and U.S. policy are discussed, along with the potential impact of the upcoming Taiwanese presidential election on Taiwan's alignment with the United States.
Divergent Taiwanese Views on Conflict Risk
Within Taiwan, views on the risk of conflict with China vary depending on party affiliation. Supporters of the KMT and independent voters are more concerned about potential conflict and perceive the situation as precarious. On the other hand, supporters of the DPP, the ruling party, view the situation as safer. Surveys show that over 55% of Taiwanese people do not believe that military confrontation would actually occur. These differing perspectives shape how individuals and parties prepare for the situation.
Debating Policies and Positions in Taiwan
The podcast delves into the debates and politics surrounding issues of war and peace in Taiwan. It explores the various positions and policies within the major parties and among presidential candidates in Taiwan. The upcoming presidential election in January adds significance to understanding these views. The alignment between the election results and Taiwanese policy, as well as its impact on the Taiwan-U.S. relationship, are explored, highlighting the importance of these debates and positions.
The Role of the U.S. and Security Concerns
The podcast addresses the role of the United States in the Taiwan-China relationship and the tensions between the two countries. The U.S. is seen as a crucial ally in ensuring Taiwan's security. Taiwanese people recognize the importance of U.S. support and the need to maintain good relations with the U.S. However, discussions also arise regarding the implications of U.S. military signals, the potential for provoking China, and concerns about U.S. policy towards China and Taiwan. The role of the U.S. and its impact on Taiwan's security is a significant aspect to consider.
As stakes rise and tensions mount between the United States and China, the future of Taiwan hangs in the balance. With a pivotal presidential election on the horizon, what are the implications for Taiwanese policy, its alignment with the US, and the risk of war with China? Sam Houston State University’s Dennis Weng and New Bloom Magazine’s Brian Hioe join Deep Dish to offer a glimpse into the uncertain future of the region.
Tune into last week's episode for part one of this conversation where Deep Dish focuses on the different positions in the US debate over policy toward Taiwan.
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