Rebel Capitalist News Wild Volatility Hits Markets...How Does This End?
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Jun 24, 2025 Explore the intertwining of geopolitical tensions and market volatility, focusing on the U.S.-Iran situation's impact on oil and stock prices. Delve into how these tensions shape investor sentiment and historical market responses during wartime. Discover insights into current economic indicators and their influence on the Federal Reserve's strategies. Gain valuable tips for portfolio adjustments that address the challenges posed by global risks and economic uncertainties.
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Markets See Iran Attack as De-escalation
- After Iran's retaliatory missile strike, markets saw it as a de-escalation rather than escalation.
- This shifted oil prices and stocks reflecting a peace agreement expectation rather than war fears.
Treasury Yields Driven by Geopolitics and Growth
- Ten-year Treasury yields fluctuate mainly on geopolitical risk, growth, and inflation expectations.
- Supply factors like deficits rarely move long-term bond yields significantly.
Fed Governors Hint at July Rate Cut
- Several Fed governors suggest a 25 basis point rate cut in July if inflation remains low.
- Market pricing may not fully reflect this chance, posing potential trading opportunities.