Iran and Israel - stepping back from the brink? w/ Paul Rogers
Apr 23, 2024
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Military and security expert Paul Rogers discusses Iran's attack on Israel, analyzing its success, US and European involvement, and distraction from IDF's Gaza failure. The podcast explores de-escalation potential, asymmetric capabilities in Israel-Iran conflict, risks of Iran's nuclear program, Israel's nuclear capability, and perspectives of Russia and China.
Iran's attack on Israel served as a strategic test to assess Israeli defenses and potential escalation.
US, Britain, France, and Jordan played a significant role in intercepting Iranian weapons, hinting at deeper cooperation with the US.
Deep dives
Iran's Attack on Israel and its Implications
The episode discusses the Iranian attack on Israel and its repercussions. The speaker, international security expert Paul Rogers, analyzes the operation's success, considering the downing of Iranian drones and missiles by Israel and its allies. Rogers suggests that the coordinated firing of weapons from multiple regions served as a strategic test for Iran to assess Israeli defenses, hinting at their potential for escalating actions.
US and Allies' Role in Response to Iran
The involvement of the United States, Britain, France, and regional states like Jordan in intercepting Iranian weapons is scrutinized. The discussion highlights the significant role of the US in providing advanced radar support and potential military engagement. It is suggested that the US presence in Israel may indicate a deeper level of cooperation than publicly acknowledged.
Israel's Options Post-Iranian Attack
The episode explores potential Israeli responses following Iran's attack, ranging from symbolic gestures to major military actions. Speculations include cyber attacks, regional strikes, and potential assaults on Iran's nuclear facilities. The nuances of Israeli nuclear capabilities and the geopolitical implications with Russia and China are also analyzed, considering factors like oil interests and global power dynamics.
Paul Rogers returns to PTO to talk about Iran's attack on Israel on the 13th of April - the first such direct operation carried out by Iran. We discussed whether the operation was a failure or a qualified success, and the role of the United States, Britain, France, and Jordan in the downing of Iranian missiles and drones. We also talked about the progress of Iran's programme and how the attacks on the 13th may have distracted attention from the IDF's failure to defeat Hamas in Gaza.
Book your spot at the first PTO Live! event on May 16th in London here: https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/disaster-nationalism-politics-theory-other-podcast-live-tickets-883198700087
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