The KE Report

Marc Chandler - Markets Correcting: Government Shutdown Fallout & Dollar Bounce

Nov 7, 2025
Join Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global Forex and editor of Marc to Market, as he unpacks the recent market correction led by tech stocks, signaling rally exhaustion. He discusses the Fed's cautious stance, predicting deeper easing in 2025, and highlights the government shutdown's potential 0.3% GDP drag. Chandler also analyzes the dollar's short-term bounce amidst a longer downtrend, and reveals concerning alt data showing a slowdown in trucking and shipping, contrasting with AI-driven GDP strength.
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INSIGHT

Late October Rally Looked Exhausted

  • Marc Chandler sees the late-October three-day gap-ups in the S&P as a classic technical exhaustion signal.
  • He links that exhaustion and a Fed hawkish tone to the recent tech-led market correction.
INSIGHT

Fed Caution Pushed Rates And Stocks

  • Chandler says the Fed’s caution after its cut dimmed odds of a December cut and helped push rates up.
  • That backing up of interest rates coincided with the pullback in stocks, especially tech.
INSIGHT

Shutdown Inflicts Measurable GDP Drag

  • Chandler highlights weaker PMIs, ISM and flat ADP over three months as signs of slowing labor momentum.
  • He estimates each week of a shutdown costs about 0.1% of GDP, implying ~0.3% if it lasts past mid-November.
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