Manifold

Manifold Discord Channel: Live Q&A with Steve — #90

25 snips
Jul 17, 2025
Discover the fascinating interplay between genomics, funding, and intelligence prediction, alongside the moral complexities of embryo selection. Engage with discussions on missile defense systems, their historical shortcomings, and emerging global challenges. Dive into a critical look at the progression of artificial intelligence and the realistic timelines for achieving AGI. Lastly, explore tips for refining your intellectual tastes and maximizing productivity amidst an increasingly AI-influenced landscape.
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INSIGHT

Genomic Prediction Potential

  • Building a data set of over a million people with their genomes and high-quality IQ scores can lead to a strong predictor of cognitive ability.
  • Such a predictor could correlate above 0.5 with actual IQ, significantly impacting embryo selection and public understanding of genetics.
INSIGHT

Improving Intelligence Predictors

  • A large-scale data set paired with better psychometric tests could rapidly improve genetic predictors of intelligence.
  • The analytical tools already exist to achieve improvements seen in recent studies, just requiring more data and testing.
ANECDOTE

Recruiting High-Ability Talent

  • Steve helped the Trump administration by forwarding resumes of high-ability individuals willing to relocate to DC and work full-time.
  • Many interested academics couldn't join due to personal constraints, limiting the impact of these efforts.
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