The Intelligence from The Economist Kyiv calm and carry on: Trump’s win may benefit Ukraine
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Nov 15, 2024 
Oliver Carroll, The Economist's Ukraine correspondent, discusses the paradox of some Ukrainians welcoming a potential Trump victory. He explains how Trump's admiration for Putin complicates relations yet raises hopes for beneficial U.S. support amid their struggle against Russia. The conversation highlights the intricate dynamics of political alignment and the anxieties it brings to Ukraine's leadership, revealing a landscape where hope and caution dance hand in hand.
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Ukrainian Perspective on Trump's Victory
- Some Ukrainians, including political and military leaders, hoped for Trump's victory.
- They saw it as a gamble after a strained relationship with the Biden administration.
Unrealistic Promises and Kremlin Conditions
- Trump promised to end the war in 24 hours, which is unrealistic given the complexities.
- A Kremlin source suggested a ceasefire is possible, but only with a new security system, echoing 2022 demands.
Ukrainian Hopes and Putin's Evolution
- Ukrainians believe Russia won't stop until their goals are achieved, despite ongoing pressure.
- They hope Trump will take a more favorable stance toward Ukraine after understanding Putin's changed demeanor.