SI38: Process over outcome and how sports relates to trading

Jun 2, 2019

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This week, we discuss the importance of process over outcome, how sports can be related to Trading, and whether mistakes are to be avoided completely or something we should look forward to learning from. Questions answered this week include: is Ray Dalio’s suggestion of 15 uncorrelated return streams the ultimate way to diversify your portfolio? Are some markets more tradable for Trend Followers than others? Is market ‘noise’ making it harder for Trend Followers, or is the volatility a good thing? How do you deal with strategic retirement decisions as a Trend Follower? Is it in a Hedge Fund’s best interests to stay relatively small and private?

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 – Intro

02:30 – Weekly review of performance

10:15 – Live event update 10/26/19-10/27/19

11:30 – Top tweets

40:30 – Question 1: Jack; When/how do you decide to change a losing TF system?

49:20 – Question 2: Werner; How do you decide not to add a specific market to a TF system?

57:15 – Question 3: Sam; Should investors decrease risk as they near retirement?, and if so…How?

01:24:30 – Discussion of noise vs volatility paper by Michele Cocchiglia & Stefan Martinek of Kelonia Capital Management: Deconstructing Noise – A closer look at the notion of noise, its definition and potential impact in today’s market environment.

01:29:00 – Benchmark performance update

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