The Duran Podcast US-China talks risk spiral into conflict
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Jun 8, 2025 Tensions in U.S.-China trade negotiations are ignited, highlighting the need for simpler tariff strategies. The podcast discusses the intricate dynamics of their relationship, stressing the urgency of re-industrialization amid military risks, especially in the South China Sea. Hardline approaches and rising anti-China sentiment in the U.S. demonstrate a growing push for conflict. Historical grievances shape the Chinese perspective, revealing deep-rooted issues. China prepares for possible economic separation, emphasizing a cautious stance on military engagement.
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Unclear US-China Negotiation Status
- There seem to be no clear, public US-China tariff negotiation meetings, just ambiguous contacts.
- Trump may overestimate Chinese interest in negotiation, expecting a quick economic divorce agreement.
Advice for US Trade Policy
- Trump should keep current US tariffs on China and avoid prolonging trade war negotiations.
- Focus on US re-industrialization rather than an uncertain and long economic divorce with China.
Tariff War Risks Military Conflict
- Prolonged tariff standoff may push US hawks toward risky military confrontations.
- Interfering with Chinese trade routes could dangerously escalate conflicts beyond economics.