The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast 1073: Mailbag - George Pickens' Outlook, the Miami Offense, and More
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Dec 19, 2025 The podcast dives into the impact of Quinn Ewers stepping in for Tua in Miami, examining how it affects key players like Waddle and Achan. A discussion on George Pickens highlights his declining target share yet argues he's still startable. The reliability of Trevor Lawrence under scrutiny, while also comparing Jacoby Brissett's playoff credentials. The conversation wraps up by assessing Jaden McMillan's route participation over Emeka Ibuka, showcasing the nuances of fantasy lineup decisions.
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Miami Quarterback Change Lowers Offensive Value
- Quinn Ewers starting in Miami likely reduces fantasy upside for Miami pass-catchers versus when Tua played.
- JJ Zachariason cites Devon Achane's target share falling from ~18.5% to ~10.5% without Tua as evidence.
Don’t Panic Over Two Down Games For Pickens
- Continue starting George Pickens in most formats despite a two-game dip unless he shows a clear on-field decline.
- Avoid overreacting to two bad games because his underlying role and the season environment still favor him.
Brissett’s Stellar Play Is Volume-Driven
- Jacoby Brissett's performance looks sustainable due to heavy pass volume and reasonable touchdown rate (4.7%).
- Advanced metrics show strong completion percentage over expectation and volume-driven opportunity, not lucky deep balls.