Join Stephen Foley, FT's U.S. accounting editor with deep insights into corporate financial strategies, and Amanda Chu, energy analyst specializing in clean hydrogen. They discuss the staggering $250 billion in corporate taxes at stake due to the upcoming U.S. election and the contrasting futures facing major corporations. The conversation pivots to the clean hydrogen industry, grappling with stalled projects and collapsing share prices, underlining the significant investment challenges ahead.
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Quick takeaways
China's push for wealthy taxpayers to settle unpaid taxes aims to alleviate fiscal pressures amid a financial crisis.
The upcoming US election could shift corporate tax policies, with $250 billion at stake depending on the elected candidate's stance.
Deep dives
China's Quest for Increased Tax Revenue
China is currently urging wealthy individuals and corporations to reassess their tax obligations as local governments face significant financial pressures. This push for higher tax contributions comes in response to dwindling revenue sources exacerbated by the ongoing property crisis, leaving many local authorities in dire need of funds. This initiative coincides with Beijing's plans to unveil new stimulus measures, including the largest fiscal package the country has proposed since the pandemic began. By targeting affluent taxpayers, the government aims to recuperate financial stability while also addressing the immediate fiscal needs at the local level.
Corporate America's Concerns Over Tax Policies
The upcoming U.S. presidential election carries substantial implications for corporate America, with an estimated $250 billion in taxes at stake based on contrasting tax policy proposals from Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Trump's potential tax cuts could reduce the corporate tax rate from 21% to as low as 15%, while Harris aims to increase it to 28%. This substantial difference creates uncertainty, prompting corporations to adopt a scenario planning strategy for major investment decisions, including the locations of new factories and workforce expansions. The evolving landscape and anticipated negotiations surrounding the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act will significantly influence corporate planning and future financial strategies.
The Decline of the Hydrogen Industry
The clean hydrogen sector, once heralded as a pivotal element in the energy transition, is currently facing severe challenges due to a lack of profitability and declining investor confidence. A recent report revealed that many anticipated hydrogen projects are stalled, with significant shares of companies experiencing over a 50% drop in stock prices this year. The decline can be attributed to insufficient demand for clean hydrogen and uncertainties surrounding regulations that prevent companies from moving forward confidently. Without a revival in this industry, there are serious concerns regarding the ability to meet climate targets which could hinder significant emissions reductions in key sectors such as shipping and heavy-duty transport.
Chinese authorities are demanding wealthy individuals and companies double-check their taxes for unpaid liabilities, and the largest US companies are facing two starkly different financial futures after the election. The UK Conservative party elects right-wing Kemi Badenoch as leader, and share prices of clean hydrogen companies have collapsed due to delayed projects and dwindling demand.
The FT News Briefing is produced by Niamh Rowe, Fiona Symon, Sonja Hutson, Kasia Broussalian and Marc Filippino. Additional help from Mischa Frankl-Duval, Breen Turner, Sam Giovinco, Peter Barber, Michael Lello, David da Silva and Gavin Kallmann. Our engineer is Joseph Salcedo. Topher Forhecz is the FT’s executive producer. The FT’s global head of audio is Cheryl Brumley. The show’s theme song is by Metaphor Music.