The Charlie Kirk Show Can Trump Voters Become GOP Voters?
Nov 4, 2025
Rich Barris, a savvy pollster from Big Data Poll, shares insights on pivotal races in New Jersey and Virginia, emphasizing the challenge of turning Trump voters into loyal GOP supporters. Congressman Jim Jordan discusses significant national political issues, including the looming government shutdown and implications for major races in New York and California. The duo explores how voter turnout dynamics might reshape future elections and the importance of grassroots organizing for the upcoming cycles.
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Why New Jersey Is Competitive
- New Jersey is uniquely susceptible to a Republican upset due to its tradition against one-party dominance and favorable county-level trends.
- Independent turnout and county returns like Monmouth and Ocean will decide the result.
Polls Miss Reluctant Democratic Votes
- Polls often hide Democratic support because some Democrats refuse to tell pollsters they'll vote for certain candidates.
- This can create apparent undervotes for positions like attorney general that nevertheless break for Democrats.
Trump Created Nonaligned Voters
- Trump's presence at the top of the ticket in 2024 brought first-time and low-propensity voters who don't feel loyal to the GOP.
- The Republican Party must convince those voters it now represents Trump-style priorities or risk losing them off-year.