How does the Middle East China relationship change the global energy sector?
May 9, 2024
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UBS Research experts Sunil Tirumalai and Ken Liu delve into the evolving collaboration between China and the Middle East in the energy sector. They discuss the economic and geopolitical impacts, synergies in energy cooperation, and the transformative influence this partnership has on the global energy sector. Topics include the Beijing accord, oil and gas trade, renewable energy transitions, and the future implications on global energy trade by 2030.
Enhanced collaboration focuses on trade, not infrastructure; significant impact on share prices.
Leveraging regional strengths for market gains; renewables and petrochemical sectors play significant roles.
Deep dives
Enhanced Trade Focus of China-Middle East Collaboration
The collaboration between China and the Middle East, exemplified by the Beijing accord, signifies a significant shift in their relationship. This enhanced collaboration focuses on trade and is distinct from the infrastructure-focused Belt and Road Initiative. The immediate monetization potential of this collaboration is highlighted, showing quicker impacts on share prices, as seen with Saudi Arabia's investment post the Beijing accord. A quantitative analysis suggests a substantial increase in annual energy-related trade by 2030, with renewables and petrochemical sectors playing a significant role.
Opportunities in Power, Renewables, and Petrochemical Sectors
The power and renewable sector collaboration between China and the Middle East leverages the strengths of each region, tapping into the Middle East's renewable potential and China's cost-effective supply chain. Specific examples, like China's cheaper and technologically advanced renewable equipment, showcase the potential for market gains. In the petrochemical sector, joint efforts could lead to market share gains globally, supported by secure raw material supplies and technology cooperation. The impact on developed countries like Europe and the US varies across sectors, with notable benefits for renewable operators and challenges for petrochemical producers due to high costs and ESG concerns.
Sunil Tirumalai and Ken Liu discuss UBS Research insights into the growing collaboration between China and the Middle East in the energy sector. *(This information is subject to a disclaimer at the end of this podcast. Please ensure that you listen to the disclaimer and go to www.ubs.com for further information about UBS).
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