Historian and fund manager Daniel Peris discusses the upcoming paradigm shift in U.S. stock market investing, focusing on the resurgence of dividend-focused stock investing. He delves into global dividend trends, challenges of outsourcing in manufacturing, the shift from dividends to share repurchases, and the concept of duration of cash flows in modern portfolio theory.
The U.S. stock market is poised for a paradigm shift towards dividend-focused investing.
Daniel Peris reflects on the historical evolution of financial paradigms and the impact of geopolitics on economics.
Deep dives
Daniel Paris's Transition from Historian to Finance Expert
Daniel Paris, author of 'The Ownership Dividend,' shares his unconventional career path from a historian of the Soviet Union to a stock researcher in the capital markets. Transitioning from academia to business, Paris reflects on his lack of financial knowledge early on and the challenges faced in adapting to the new field.
Evolution of Daniel Paris's Book Series
Paris discusses the evolution of his book series, starting with 'The Strategic Dividend Investor' and 'The Dividend Imperative.' These early works focused on advocating for a particular investment style grounded in historical analysis and performance claims. Subsequent books like 'Getting Back to Business' and 'The Ownership Dividend' take a step back to offer a historical perspective on modern portfolio theory and the changing stock market environment.
Historical Context of Financial Paradigms
Paris delves into a historical analysis of financial paradigms from the '80s to the present, highlighting key events like Deng Xiaoping's rise and vast changes in geopolitics that have influenced economic trends. The discussion touches on the shift from the Neoliberal paradigm nurtured post-1980s to the current challenges posed by geopolitical dynamics, raising questions about the sustainability of existing economic models.
Analysis of Share Repurchases versus Dividend Payments
Paris explores the dynamics between share repurchases and dividend payments, unpacking the historical shift towards favoring share repurchases over dividends. He delves into the tax efficiency argument that once supported share repurchases and highlights the unique implications of these financial strategies within the context of modern portfolio theory. The discussion emphasizes the importance of considering cash flow streams and duration in evaluating investment choices.
Today we talk to historian, fund manager, and author Daniel Peris. In his fourth book, The Ownership Dividend, Daniel makes the persuasive case that we are on the verge of a major paradigm shift for investors in the U.S. stock market. Dividend-focused stock investing, he explains, has been receding in popularity for more than three decades in the U.S.; once the dominant investment style, it is now a boutique approach. That, argues Peris, is about to change.
Daniel Peris is a fund manager at Federated Hermes, but leans heavily on his academic and professional past as a historian to allocate capital. You can follow Daniel here on LinkedIn, and here on X. Buy The Ownership Dividend wherever books are sold, including here.
(New intro music by Gregor Quendel sourced at Pixabay)
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