What are the military risks of an Israeli ground offensive in Gaza?
Oct 15, 2023
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Guests on this podcast include Elias Hanna, a retired Lebanese military General, Elijah Magnier, a military analyst who has covered conflicts in the Middle East, and Lawrence Korb, a former Assistant Secretary of Defense. They discuss the military risks and considerations of an Israeli ground offensive in Gaza, including challenges of urban warfare, the presence of captives held by Hamas, concerns over civilian casualties, and the role of the United States in determining the outcome.
The Israeli military is preparing for a coordinated attack from air, land, and sea, and the involvement of other countries in the region highlights the significance of this operation in terms of regional dynamics.
The challenges of urban warfare and the experience gained by Hamas from previous conflicts create a complex situation where the outcome of infantry operations for the Israeli military is uncertain, potentially resulting in significant consequences for Israeli soldiers.
Deep dives
Israeli military planning and coordination with the United States
The Israeli military is preparing for a coordinated attack from air, land, and sea. Delaying the operation allowed the Israeli military to address internal problems and secure support from other countries in the region. The United States is playing a role in ensuring that this military operation does not happen again. The timeline, extent of damage, and involvement of Egypt remain uncertain.
Challenges in urban warfare and Hamas's strategy
The Israeli military is walking into a trap as they face the challenges of urban warfare. While the Israeli Air Force is powerful, success in infantry operations is not guaranteed. Hamas has gained experience from previous conflicts, and the consequences for Israeli soldiers are expected to be significant. The balance of power currently favors Israel, but the objectives, readiness, and regional dynamics contribute to the complexity of the situation.
Dilemmas, casualties, and hostage situations
Israel faces dilemmas in terms of their end goal and the consequences of their actions. Urban warfare raises concerns about civilian casualties and the psychological advantage for Hamas. Hostages held by Hamas pose challenges for the Israeli military's intelligence and perception around the world. The potential for a high civilian casualty rate is worrisome, considering the intensity of the bombardment and the difficulties of achieving unconditional surrender.
What are the military risks of an Israeli ground offensive in Gaza? The Israeli army says it's ready for the next stage of its war on the strip, and it's massing hundreds of thousands of troops. But what does Israel stand to gain from an incursion into Gaza?
Join Host James Bays
Guests:
Elias Hanna - Retired Lebanese military General.
Elijah Magnier - Military analyst who has covered conflicts in the Middle East.
Lawrence Korb - Former Assistant Secretary of Defense.
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