Vladimir Putin's Horrible, Terrible, but in the End Pretty Good Year
Dec 18, 2023
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Charles Maynes, NPR's Russia correspondent, delves into Vladimir Putin's tumultuous year in 2023. He discusses the shocking rebellion led by Yevgeny Prigozhin and its aftermath, including the mysterious death of Prigozhin. Maynes reveals how Putin is maneuvering for a fifth presidential campaign despite political repression and growing dissent. He highlights the mounting unrest among families of soldiers, challenging propaganda narratives. As the U.S. navigates its own political landscape, the stakes for Ukraine and Putin's future are higher than ever.
Putin successfully eliminated potential threats to his regime and emerged on top despite ongoing challenges and criticism.
Putin's ability to navigate Western sanctions and maintain partnerships with countries like India and China has helped him effectively manage the Russian economy.
Deep dives
Putin's Year in Review: From Rebellion to Confidence
The year 2023 began with challenges for Russian President Vladimir Putin. His war in Ukraine was not going well, and his close ally, Yevgeny Progogian, openly criticized the war and questioned the reasons for the invasion. However, as the year ends, Progogian is dead, the US Congress is consumed with border funding, and Western support for Ukraine is dwindling. Putin, on the other hand, feels confident that Russia has the upper hand in Ukraine and in its struggle against the West. He recently announced his intention to run for a fifth term as president, taking advantage of constitutional reforms that reset his term count to zero. While there will be other candidates on the ballot, Putin is expected to have no real competition. Furthermore, political repression has intensified in Russia, with over 20,000 arrests and heavy sentences for even minor infractions of dissent. As the year comes to a close, Putin appears to be on top again, despite ongoing challenges and criticism.
The Wagner Rebellion and its Aftermath
One of the most significant moments of the year was the rebellion led by Yevgeny Progogian, the head of the Wagner mercenary group. Progogian launched an attack on Rostov-on-Don and then turned towards Moscow, only to eventually accept an amnesty deal and go into exile. However, two months later, Progogian died in a mysterious plane crash. The future of the Wagner mercenaries remains uncertain, with some joining the army or other mercenary groups, while questions arise about promised payments to veterans. Putin's leadership throughout this period showcased his ability to navigate internal challenges and eliminate potential threats to his regime.
Economic Adaptation and Turmoil beneath the Surface
Despite Western sanctions following the invasion of Ukraine, Putin has managed to navigate them effectively, thanks to a skilled economic team and partnerships with countries like India and China. While many Western companies left Russia, small businesses stayed, and replacement Russian-owned brands emerged. The Russian economy has adapted, but experts note that growth is largely fueled by wartime spending. However, beneath the surface, there are indications of turmoil. Families of civilians mobilized to fight in Ukraine demand demobilization, and there is anger among those who have lost loved ones in the war. Tens of thousands have died, but the exact number remains unknown. Despite the challenges and discontent, Putin heads into 2024 with a strong grip on power and confidence in his ability to continue steering Russia forward.
For Russian President Vladimir Putin, 2023 began with his war against Ukraine stagnating. It went on to deliver one of the most public challenges to his leadership, ever.
Now as 2023 comes to a close, the man who lead the rebellion against Putin Yevgeny Prighozin is dead. US aid to Ukraine is on the Congressional chopping block, and Putin is getting ready to embark on a fifth campaign for the presidency of Russia. Odds are, he'll win.