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Poll: The Conservatives overtake the Liberals on the issues facing Canadians

Aug 25, 2025
Eddie Sheppard, VP of Insights at Abacus Data, discusses a recent national poll revealing that the Conservatives have taken the lead over the Liberals for the first time since the last election. He delves into the shifting political dynamics, particularly how younger voters are increasingly drawn to conservative values due to job security and housing issues. The conversation also uncovers challenges faced by Prime Minister Mark Carney and strategic considerations for appealing to diverse voter demographics.
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INSIGHT

Conservatives Pull Ahead Nationally

  • Abacus found the Conservatives lead with 41% to the Liberals' 39% among committed votes.
  • This is the first Conservative lead since before the election and marks a modest but meaningful shift.
INSIGHT

Domestic Issues Replace Trump As Top Concern

  • Issue salience shifted from Trump to domestic issues like housing, health care and the economy.
  • That benefits the Conservatives because voters see them as better on those domestic concerns.
INSIGHT

Conservative Vote Retention Stronger

  • The Conservatives hold a higher retention rate of their 2024 voters than the Liberals do.
  • Conservatives retain 93% of their voters versus 86% retention for Liberals, aiding their current lead.
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