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Investing With IBD
Ep. 229: Jeffrey Hirsch: Can Investors Expect More Bullish Action This Year?
Aug 10, 2023
Jeffrey Hirsch of the Stock Trader's Almanac reviews the market and discusses stock market trends during the presidential election cycle. They analyze market trends in July and August, explore stock market cycles and patterns throughout the year, and discuss following seasonal trends and technical analysis for investing. Hirsch also shares insights on timing the stock market and short-term bond investments.
01:00:45
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Quick takeaways
- Hitting the January trifecta (January performance, Santa Claus rally, and the first five days of the year) has historically indicated a bullish year with positive returns.
- The four-year presidential election cycle can impact market trends, and although the current trend suggests potential sideways movement, a bullish rally is expected in the fourth quarter.
Deep dives
Bullish indication for the year based on trifecta
The podcast discusses the January trifecta, a concept from the stock traders Almanac that looks at the performance of January and three indicators: January performance, Santa Claus rally, and the first five days of the year. When these three factors align positively, it's seen as a bullish indication for the year. Historical data shows that hitting this trifecta has resulted in bullish years with high accuracy ratios, indicating positive returns for the rest of the year.
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Discover
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Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode