
Money Life with Chuck Jaffe CEF Advisor's Scott is investing for lower inflation, no recession in '26
Dec 26, 2025
John Cole Scott, President of CEF Advisors, predicts a positive outlook for 2026 with no recession and lower inflation, while discussing key closed-end funds expected to perform well. Veteran journalist Alan Sloan shares insights on the Dells' philanthropic initiatives for youth investing but critiques the Trump accounts' effectiveness. The conversation also highlights financial tips like avoiding penalties for missed distributions and the importance of utilizing Flexible Spending Accounts before year-end.
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Base Case: Mild Growth, Lower Inflation
- John Cole Scott expects no recession in 2026 with muted U.S. GDP around 1.5–1.75%.
- He forecasts inflation easing to ~2.5% for the year and one Fed rate cut, reducing headline rate volatility.
Expect A Strong January Bounce
- Scott expects a stronger-than-average January effect with a ~3.5% bounce from November/December lows.
- He predicts discounts and NAV dynamics will be calmer due to lower rate headline volatility but still influenced by macro tension.
Leverage And ROC To Tick Up Modestly
- Scott forecasts average leverage for CEFs to rise modestly from ~23% to ~26% as managers seek yield.
- He expects return-of-capital rates and destructive ROC to tick up slightly but remain a small portion of distributions.
