SOTS 2nd Hour: 2025 stocks to watch: from Software to Renewables to Cannabis, plus: IMAX CEO's 2025 Predictions 12/26/24
Dec 26, 2024
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Get ready for a compelling dive into stock market trends! Key areas of focus include the promising outlook for renewable energy and software stocks, alongside the ups and downs in cannabis investments. Tune in for insights from IMAX's CEO about box office predictions and holiday demand. Explore the implications of rising interest rates on consumer spending and their impact on the broader economy. Plus, the podcast highlights the evolving landscape of cannabis legalization and its future potential in the market.
The podcast discusses the potential impact of President-elect Trump's economic policies on the market, emphasizing concerns about tariffs and their complex implications.
Consumer spending during the holiday season shows a positive trend with online shopping significantly outpacing in-store purchases, indicating resilience in the economy despite inflation concerns.
Deep dives
Market Overview and Treasury Yields
The podcast reviews the current state of the stock market, revealing a slight decline across major sectors after a strong rally. The S&P 500 index has decreased by a small margin, while technology stocks like Apple and NVIDIA show mixed performance. A significant focal point is the rise in Treasury yields, which has continued despite recent Federal Reserve rate cuts, with the 10-year yield nearing its highest level since 2022. This increase in yields raises concerns about higher borrowing costs for consumers, impacting loans and credit interest rates.
Consumer Spending Trends During the Holidays
Data from MasterCard’s Spending Pulse highlights a positive trend in U.S. consumer spending during the holiday season, with an overall increase of 3.8% from the previous year. Online shopping growth stands out at 6.7%, significantly outpacing the 2.9% rise in in-store purchases. Categories like apparel showed some recovery, while restaurants experienced strong growth, indicating consumers' willingness to spend on experiences. This spending trend suggests that the economy remains robust, despite concerns over inflation and rising interest rates.
Economic Policy Perspectives
The discussion turns to the implications of President-elect Trump’s economic policies, which many believe will foster positive outcomes for the markets. However, concerns arise regarding the potential negative ramifications of tariffs, as public opinion appears divided on their impact. While a survey suggests 71% believe Trump's policies will benefit the economy, the complexities of tariff strategies could introduce significant challenges. Economists also emphasize the need for clarity on these policies to navigate future economic landscapes effectively.
Interest Rates and Inflation Outlook
Former economists weigh in on the current interest rate strategies of the Federal Reserve, suggesting skepticism towards stabilized rates in the near future. The bond market reflects growing worries about inflation, influenced by government policies and rising debt. As inflation remains a prevailing concern, the Fed faces difficulty balancing economic growth with controlling price levels. Analysts predict that ongoing economic momentum may necessitate a delicate approach to future rate adjustments, particularly as new policies emerge under the next administration.
Sara Eisen and Brian Sullivan broke down the key stocks to watch across multiple sectors this hour: with renewables, software, and cannabis stocks a key focus. Plus: IMAX CEO Rich Gelfond breaks down the bull case for 2025, and one former Fed President's take on the path ahead for rates.