Complexity Premia

Episode 62: Trump’s Tariff Plans; US Fiscal Risks; RBA’s Evolving Rate Outlook; January Returns

Feb 27, 2025
Dive into the captivating world of finance as the hosts dissect Trump's tariff plans and their unpredictable impact on the U.S. economy. Explore the growing fiscal deficit issues and their implications on government efficiency, with a special nod to Musk's role. The RBA's unexpected rate cut takes center stage, spawning discussions on inflation and market reactions. January's strong investment performance contrasts sharply with the struggles of private credit, setting the stage for a thought-provoking analysis of high-grade bonds and evolving strategies.
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ADVICE

New ETF: YLDX

  • Consider investing in Coolabah Capital's new Global Floating Rate High Yield ETF (YLDX).
  • It offers daily redemptions, a 7.6% yield, and access to a larger market than traditional hybrids.
INSIGHT

Trump's Tariff Strategy

  • Trump's tariff proposals have economic and geopolitical motivations beyond negotiation tactics.
  • He needs revenue to offset tax cuts and aims to counter China's economic practices.
INSIGHT

Musk's Efficiency Plan

  • Musk aims to cut the US budget deficit by $1 trillion through the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).
  • This is challenging, as nearly half the budget is protected, but Musk's track record suggests potential.
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