The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Oct 23, 2024
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Dan Ives, Managing Director of Equity Research at Wedbush Securities, brings his tech stock expertise, while Stephanie Link, Chief Investment Strategist at Hightower Advisors, offers keen insights on market strategies. They dive into Apple's impressive 42% stock increase, despite mixed news. The duo also analyzes how a potential Trump presidency could shift tech markets, NVIDIA's booming AI chip demand, and Amazon's struggles with culture amidst its vast growth. Catch their take on the evolving tech landscape and investment opportunities!
Apple's stock has surged 42% since April, driven by strong upgrade potential from older iPhone users despite mixed product reception.
NVIDIA is experiencing unprecedented demand for its Blackwell chips, indicating a robust market for AI investments and growth prospects.
Deep dives
Apple's Current Market Dynamics
Apple has seen a significant increase in its stock value, rising 42% since April. This growth is contrasted by concerns regarding its product advancements, particularly with Apple intelligence and the Vision Pro, which some consider unimpressive. Despite facing revenue deceleration and competition in China, a considerable number of customers with older iPhones are poised for upgrades, which could drive sales. Analysts believe that Apple is evolving into a service-oriented company, indicating future valuation improvements based on its services sector.
The Future of Apple's China Revenue
China, which constitutes about 20% of Apple's total revenue, has presented challenges for the company, including recent declines in sales amid increased competition from Huawei. However, analysts highlight that Apple's market share in China has grown by 300 basis points over the past two years despite negative sentiments. The anticipated release of the iPhone 16 appears to be generating excitement, with sales reportedly 20% higher than its predecessor. Analysts suggest that Apple's potential for growth in India may counterbalance the challenges in China, given India's youthful demographic and expanding consumer base.
NVIDIA's Growing Dominance in AI
NVIDIA's Blackwell chip is experiencing immense demand, with reports indicating a 15 to 1 demand-to-supply ratio in Asia. Analysts project significant earnings growth for NVIDIA, with projections suggesting it could become a $4 trillion market in the near future. Despite concerns regarding rapid spending and ROI in AI investments, there is confidence in a strong trajectory owing to the consistent demand from hyperscalers. This investment approach contrasts previous market cycles, emphasizing that current earnings and growth should not be undervalued compared to the dot-com era.
Amazon's Varied Growth Strategies
Amazon's stock has underperformed relative to the broader market, raising concerns about management and spending practices under CEO Andy Jassy. Despite criticisms, analysts believe that Amazon's future growth is tied to the expanding AWS and advertising segments, which show strong margins compared to traditional retail. The company is investing heavily in satellite internet, but this expenditure is still a small percentage of its overall operating costs. Analysts predict continued growth for AWS, alongside a mixed retail environment, suggesting Amazon will navigate through its current challenges effectively.
Dan Ives is the managing director, equity research at Wedbush Securities. Stephanie Link is the chief investment strategist and portfolio manager at Hightower Advisors. The two all-star stock watchers join Big Technology Podcast to discuss the fascinating state of big tech stocks, particularly Apple's surprising resilience. Tune in to hear why Apple's stock is up 42% since April despite mixed headlines about Vision Pro and AI, and whether its $3.5 trillion valuation is justified. We also cover Nvidia's dominance in AI chips, how a potential Trump presidency could impact tech stocks, and Amazon's cultural challenges. Hit play for an insightful discussion about where the biggest names in tech are headed and how to think about investing in them.
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