Joining the conversation is Professor Elliot Tepper, a Distinguished Senior Fellow at Carleton University, who specializes in international relations and the war in Ukraine. He discusses Russia's updated nuclear doctrine and how this intensifies nuclear threats globally. The talk highlights the impact of U.S. support for Ukraine amidst evolving geopolitical tensions. Tepper also dives into how a potential return of Donald Trump could reshape U.S. foreign policy, complicating Ukraine's fight for sovereignty. Canada's significant aid to Ukraine and its NATO commitments are key topics as well.
Russia's updated nuclear doctrine escalates the risk of nuclear conflict by treating any aggression with nuclear support as a joint attack.
The U.S. decision to supply long-range missiles to Ukraine signifies a pivotal shift in military policy, enhancing Ukraine's capabilities against Russian aggression.
Deep dives
Russia's Nuclear Doctrine Update
Russia's updated nuclear doctrine raises the stakes in the ongoing conflict with Ukraine, particularly after the U.S. granted Ukraine permission to strike deeper into Russian territory. This doctrine asserts that Moscow will view aggression from any non-nuclear state, supported by a nuclear power, as a joint attack, thereby lowering the threshold for the use of nuclear weapons. Despite heightened rhetoric, experts suggest that such declarations may primarily serve as a bluff to manipulate international reactions rather than signal an imminent threat. Although Russia possesses the largest nuclear arsenal, actual deployment remains uncertain, characterized more as a strategic posturing than a defined operational policy.
Significance of U.S. Military Support to Ukraine
The Biden administration's decision to allow Ukraine to use U.S.-made long-range missiles against targets in Russia marks a significant shift in U.S. military policy, enhancing Ukraine's military capabilities. This change is interpreted as a direct response to the escalating threat posed by Russia, particularly following the reported influx of North Korean troops into Russian territory. The new allowance enables Ukraine to strike at Russian staging areas, thereby pushing back against Russian forces and providing more operational space for Ukrainian military actions. The provision of advanced weaponry not only signifies increased support for Ukraine but also aims to deter further Russian aggression by showcasing Western commitment to Ukraine's sovereignty.
Canada's Role in Supporting Ukraine
Canada has demonstrated a steadfast commitment to supporting Ukraine's sovereignty during the ongoing conflict with Russia, contributing approximately $20 billion in various forms of aid. The Canadian government actively engages in diplomatic efforts to assist Ukraine, including working to seize Russian assets and redirecting those resources to support Ukrainian defense needs. Although Canada may not play a direct role in future peace negotiations, it serves as a key ally within NATO and has bolstered its military presence in Eastern Europe in response to Russian actions. The ongoing support underscores Canada's stance against Russian imperialism, reinforcing its commitment to a democratic Ukraine while working to uphold international peace and security.
This week marked 1,000 days since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Vladimir Putin has updated Russia’s Nuclear Doctrine in response to Joe Biden authorizing long-range missiles for the Ukrainian military. Experts say the world’s nuclear temperature just went up. Meanwhile, Donald Trump is set to take back the Oval Office in January. He has threatened to pull U-S support for Ukraine entirely. He has said he will end the war on his first day in power.
The fate of Ukraine hangs in the balance.
Professor Elliot Tepper is Distinguished Senior Fellow at the Norman Paterson School of International Affairs at Carleton University.
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