
 Daliana's Game
 Daliana's Game  How he built the best Covid forecasting model, lessons learned and how to improve model performance with Youyang Gu - The Data Scientist Show#032
 22 snips 
 Mar 31, 2022  Youyang Gu, creator of covid19-projections.com, shares how he built an accurate Covid forecasting model using the SCIR model. He discusses the challenges faced when working with Covid data, the process of adjusting and tweaking the model, and the inclusion of additional features like school reopenings. Gu's model gained attention, leading to its inclusion on the CDC's website. He explores the effectiveness of crowdsourcing and the importance of diverse sources in forecasting. Gu is currently working on a project analyzing Covid mortality and inequalities within and between countries. 
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 Transcript 
 Episode notes 
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 Introduction 
 00:00 • 2min 
 Career Journey, Machine Learning, and Modeling Experience 
 01:36 • 2min 
 Building a COVID Projection Model 
 03:59 • 6min 
 Constructing the Covid Forecasting Model 
 10:27 • 24min 
 Adjustment and Tweaking of the Covid Forecasting Model 
 34:50 • 20min 
 Gaining Attention and Building Credibility 
 54:34 • 34min 
 Exploring the Difference Between Crowdsourcing and Groupthink 
 01:28:51 • 4min 
 Influential Books and Blogs on Forecasting and Data Analysis 
 01:32:57 • 3min 
 Analyzing COVID Mortality and Inequalities 
 01:35:54 • 25min 
 Finding and Following the Speaker's Work Online 
 02:01:11 • 2min 
