You Decide with Errol Louis

Hochul's big speech and Mamdani's opening act

Jan 15, 2026
Nicole Gelinas, a Senior Fellow at the Manhattan Institute, joins the discussion to analyze Gov. Kathy Hochul's recent State of the State address and the early moves of NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani. They explore Hochul's strong political position and her push for universal childcare. Gelinas critiques Mamdani's rent freeze promise and budget choices amid economic pressures. The conversation also touches on the impact of transit investments on housing and earmarks Mamdani’s pragmatic start while navigating complex challenges ahead.
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INSIGHT

Hochul's Political Momentum

  • Kathy Hochul has improved her political standing by owning progress on subway crime and projecting authenticity.
  • Nicole Gelinas says external events and smart presentation have put her in a strong reelection position for now.
INSIGHT

Hochul Co-Opts Childcare Rollout

  • Hochul is co-opting universal childcare as a phased, tax-neutral rollout starting with 3K in New York City.
  • Gelinas warns Mamdani's campaign demand for faster, broader childcare may clash with Albany's political calculus.
ADVICE

Read Mamdani's Budget For Intent

  • Watch Mayor Mamdani's February budget to see if he counts proposed tax hikes as immediate revenue.
  • Use that five-year budget projection as the clearest signal of how aggressively he'll press Albany for $9 billion in new taxes.
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