The Rob Vinall Podcast

RV Capital's 2024 Letter to Co-Investors

Mar 1, 2025
Rob shares his experiences navigating a 50% market drawdown, highlighting the psychological effects of volatility. He discusses six investments in China, showcasing growth strategies of companies like Tencent and Yum China despite challenges. The conversation shifts to a new energy sector investment, analyzing undervalued opportunities like PDD and ACA BP's strengths. Competition in the Swiss grocery market is explored, focusing on ethical and efficient disruptors. Finally, there's a celebration of innovation and the importance of diverse perspectives.
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ANECDOTE

Painful Drawdown and Medical Emergency

  • Rob Vinall experienced a near 50% drawdown, the most painful of his career, bottoming in December 2022.
  • It felt worse than losing his own money and was compounded by a medical emergency, though the latter put things in perspective.
ADVICE

Recovering from Drawdowns

  • Recover losses responsibly by doubling down on unfairly marked-down stocks and selling those lacking conviction.
  • Aim for a reasonable recovery timeframe (e.g., 5 years at 15% annualized return).
INSIGHT

Pain of Correlated Drawdowns

  • Drawdowns are painful when fully invested and holdings fall simultaneously, especially if caused by poor investment decisions.
  • Value investors should theoretically delight in market crashes, but the reality can be different.
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